Polling is far from a precise science, but MinnPost argues that this year's election makes the job that much harder. Why? There's no incumbent president or vice president running for the first time in more than 70 years, one of the nominees is black, and turnout is estimated to break records in many states around the country. But that's not all. The question that many pollsters are wondering about is what influence the transition from household phones to cell phone dominated homes will play in polling. The Pew Center found that about 1 in 6 homes is a cell-phone only home, and most pollsters rely only on landlines or polling. On average, these cell-phone dominated households are younger, possibly meaning more liberal.
All of this combines into a messy polling process that certainly leaves a lot of questions for the future.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)

No comments:
Post a Comment